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Self-Assessment

This is not a quiz. There is no score. It is a structured way to think honestly about a situation you are carrying and where you sit in relation to your own consequence horizon. Pick something specific. Something you know you should be dealing with but have not. Then answer the questions below.

Behavioural lag

How long have you known about this situation?

Less than a weekA few weeksA few monthsSix months or moreOver a year

Behavioural lag

Have you taken any concrete action on it?

Yes, I have started dealing with itI have thought about it but not actedI have actively avoided dealing with it

Narrative

Do you have a reason for not acting that you have repeated to yourself or to others?

No, I know I need to actI have a loose justificationI have a detailed explanation for why it is fine

Narrative

If someone challenged that reason, how would you react?

I would probably agree with themI would feel uncomfortable but listenI would push back and defend my positionI would avoid the conversation entirely

Incentive sensitivity

What would it take to make you act on this today?

Not much, I am nearly thereA clear deadline or external pressureSomething going seriously wrongI honestly do not know

Information filtering

Have you avoided looking at information that would make the situation harder to ignore?

No, I have looked at everythingI have skimmed but not gone deepI have avoided specific things I know would worry meI have actively stopped myself from finding out more

Information filtering

If you imagined the worst realistic outcome, how clearly can you picture it?

Very clearly, I think about it oftenI can picture it but I push it awayIt feels vague and unlikelyI have not let myself think about it

Crisis threshold

How close do you think you are to the point where you will have to act regardless?

I am already thereClose, within weeksMonths away, probablyIt feels distantI do not think it will get that far

The Consequence Horizon Model

Morgan Sheldon (2025)

First published at consequencehorizon.com

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